THE LOOMING SHORTAGE OF GENERAL SURGEONS
Our presidential election is only days away. 48 million
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in five years? Welcome to ReachMD's monthly series focus on public health
policy. This month we explore the many questions facing healthcare today.
Could general surgery be a dying art, does reimbursement
have anything to do with it? You are listening to ReachMD XM 157, the channel
for medical professionals. Welcome to the Clinician's Roundtable.
HOST:
Bill Ruttenberg, M.D.
GUEST:
Dr. George Sheldon.
I am Dr. Bill Ruttenberg, your host, and with me today is
Dr. George Sheldon. Dr. Sheldon is a Professor of Surgery at the University of
North Carolina, Chapel Hill, and chaired the Department of Surgery from 1984
until 2001. He has been president of all the major surgical organizations
including President of the American College of Surgeons, President of the
American Surgical Association and the American Board of Surgery. Dr. Sheldon
is currently editor-in-chief of www.e-facs.org,
the web portal of the American College of Surgeons and is Director of the
Health Policy Institute of the American College of Surgeons. Today, we are
discussing the impact of reimbursement on physician shortages.
Dr. RUTTENBERG:
Welcome Dr. Sheldon, thanks for joining us at the
Clinician's Roundtable.
Dr. SHELDON:
My pleasure.
Dr. RUTTENBERG:
In a recent commentary, "The Impending Disappearance of
The General Surgeon" which appeared in the Journal of the American Medical
Association, Dr. Joseph Fisher wrote "surveys of surgeons indicate that
the single most important factor in deciding on early retirement, practice
restriction, and career change is the unfavorable work environment. The
environment has been fostered primarily by commoditization of medicine, which
includes reimbursement manage care with its ever changing rules and
professional liability. Dr. Sheldon, how do you feel about what Dr. Fisher has
written?
Dr. SHELDON:
Dr. Fisher is a very close friend of mine and in fact he
acknowledges some of our conversations in that article at the end. I think he
is right on all of it, obviously that's a focused article and I think there are
other things involved in the issue of the shortage, but I think those are all
important. He has been a careful student of reimbursement cycle for many, many
years and he is very familiar with it. I think the methodology _____ started,
general surgeons were not part of that initial panel. The resource based
relative value scale has been a problem ever since it started. I think this
was added to a great deal by the Balance Budget Act that assumed that we would
save money by putting a freeze on it. Frankly, doctors are not as good with
business as are insurance companies and hospitals, so the most of the rate
decrease in reimbursement for services has fallen heavier on physicians than it
has on other parts of the industry, if you want to call that, and you have to
remember that the corporatization is really something that has happened. Paul
Starr's book in 1983, The Social Transformation of America Medicine really
predicted this as it has come out. So I think all of these are factors. I
think having said that the environment is a problem. I think most of us would
do the same career. The pleasures of being able to take care of patients with
the skills that you have as a surgeon are, I believe, unequal in any other
field. All of us really enjoy what we are doing. We get tired of filling out
forms, we get tired of having to argue with the insurance companies and some of
which had some automatic rejection defaults billed into the billing, and the
malpractice thing is still in absolute mess, but probably won't get changed as
long as the trial lawyers have such a representation in the Senate. So those
are problems that are there, but some of them are societal problems. The
liability issue is actually higher for consumer goods than it is for medical
services and it is this part of the mindset of our society today that's may be
taking too far away from it, but I think Dr. Fisher is right. All those are
contributing factors in the career issues, now having said all that there are
things that keep coming into the literature especially about people choosing
careers because of higher reimbursement. Many studies have not shown that to
be a factor. I think that when I talk to students and people about it, that
they have seen the work and the need to be accurate and everything that say a
neurosurgeon or cardiothoracic surgeon does, this reimbursement is a little
higher than some of the other fields and I ask him, okay you can make more
money doing that, would you do it ? many of them do not see that as a life that
they could be happy with.
Dr. RUTTENBERG:
So they are choosing a lifestyle over a compensation.
Dr. SHELDON:
Only in part, not just a lifestyle, it's just as specialty
not all of us are equipped to do every specialty in terms of our own emotional
makeup and stuff. I don't have value judgments on this and I think it's been a
mistake to try to put value judgments on it. On the other hand, I think
decreasing reimbursement and the other things that those of all occurred in an
environment where overhead of running an office and paying malpractice is going
up all the time and that makes it difficult. What is happening is at many
places around the country you find, especially general surgeons, starting the
work for hospitals who will do their billing and cover their malpractices and
things like that. Now that has as Dr. Fisher mentioned in his article, the
world health area is an area we are studying in the Health Policy Institute.
We have a number of counties in North Carolina where there are no general
surgeons now or fewer than there were five years ago and there is a lot of
reasons for it, but some of them are the ones mentioned in his article. A lot
of it comes to the need to have an equipage in the local hospital that allows
you to provide the care which you were trying to do. Not all of them have
laparoscopic capabilities, so there is a whole bunch of issues that overlap in
this and the problem though is that people keep seizing on one or two factors and
it's usually like most things a little more complicated in that the income
generating issue though where you are seeing that you can barely keep your
office open because of all these things is an issue and many people resolve it
by doing that or doing a local attendance.
Dr. RUTTENBERG:
You have done a great job outlining the problems. What do
you see as solutions and what has been done so far to correct some of those
rural physician shortages you just mentioned in North Carolina?
Dr. SHELDON:
Thank you. One of the things that is I think incompletely
understood by many people is that there really are two routes to proving a
physician or surgeon to a community, the country, or city, etc. One route is
going through medical school, go to medical school and then you finish with an
M.D., but you are not able to be licensed for at least one more year when you
do graduate medical education, but states have developed medical schools in
order to try to get the people live in that state to go to medical school and
stay there and practice medicine. We believe that we are going to have too
many doctors by 2000, lead to voluntary freeze on the number or medical schools
in the country. There were 126 medical schools and there was no growth in them
at all, in fact, there were one fewer one because all _____closed, 125 medical
schools. With a realization only about four years ago we were going to be in
this shortfall, medical schools who are closely associated in their
professional, organizational life with the association of American Medical
Colleges developed a workforce center and began to advocate increasing the
number of graduates. That had a very profound and salutary effect. There is
going to be probably somewhere between 13 to 19% more doctors turned out by
about 2012 and with probably 13 new campuses. Some of these were being done
like our Dean, Dr. William Roper here in North Carolina has developed the so
called mini medical school satellite campus which we will have in Charlotte,
North Carolina, will train 50 more students and many have followed that route
which is a very good way to go. Others have been in states in the South West
and the West which have been more recent in population growth to where they
have many fewer medical schools in Western Mississippi than East of it. So a
new pipeline of medical students is going to be coming out within 5 to 10
years.
Dr. RUTTENBERG:
But how do you keep them in the rural areas. Are you going
to tie scholarship to service kind of like the military does where you get your
education, but you have to do a payback.
Dr. SHELDON:
Well, actually that's available in many states including
here and there is also the Health Service Corps. That is a very good way to do
it. Some towns have done it on their own on a state basis there are programs
like this in existence right now, but part of it is that in the perfect storm
analogy that I am using, so we have corrected that part of the problem, but now
we have not increased the number of finishing residency positions in general
surgeries since 1980. Now there have been a few more, but not many. We can
turn out all the medical students in the world, but if we do not have residency
positions for them to go into, they obviously will not be able to provide the
care. Meanwhile Medicare bypassed under Lyndon Johnson, they tied graduate
medical education funding to Medicare Law. That was what was frozen by the
Balance Budge Act in 1996, so we have the perfect storm of the voluntary freeze
on number of medical school positions for many years and that in 1996 we froze
it at the gradual medical education level, so we really put a throttle on it.
Now I would not say as I have tried to indicate that the medical school thing
has opened up. They recognized it and they have adapted. This has not
happened through the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education yet,
but a lot of it is due because Congress continues to freeze the number of
physicians paid for under Medicare. So that needs to be attacked and we need
to expand those and we need to allow hospitals to provide application for more
positions and these need to be funded by, if not the Medicare Law, through some
initiatives that have occurred in some states like Utah.
Dr. RUTTENBERG:
Pardon mu cynicism, but do we reach a point where it is just
kind of like baseball expands and somebody gets these real weak teams, how far
can we expand the number of medical school positions, how far can we increase
the number of residencies before either the teaching quality starts to go down
or the quality of the applicant starts to wane?
Dr. SHELDON:
There is only 10% to 15% more applicants probably of the
same quality that we are able to get right now. We have been very blessed by
the fact that women have come into medicine. I predicted we would not have
kept up as well as we have. There were two women in my class in medical school
in 1961. There is over 15 schools now have more women than men. Surgery has
been a little slower getting women to come into it and to some others, but this
year 44% of all first year residents in general surgery are women. So it's
about there, it's getting there and that will help a lot and having said that
the centennial generation or whatever you want to call it, the practice
patterns of women in terms of number of hours worked and things like that or
working for say a corporation or hospital provides fewer hours of service than
men and this is not meant to be a gender comment, it's been a studied fact.
Point being, that is a confounding factor in trying to figure out how many you
need, it's unlikely that they will be able to get from them the number of hours
that a lot of people put in, probably not the best thing in the world, but historically
been done by doctors. So that needs to be factored into if we can figure out a
way to do it. I think it's hard to know how far we can expand, but on the
other hand the alternative is to keep recruiting people from countries that
probably need the doctors worse than we do.
Dr. RUTTENBERG:
I would like to thank you so much for being my guest and we
have been discussing reimbursements as well as other factors affecting the
workforce in medicine today.
I am Dr. Bill Ruttenberg and you have been listening to the
Clinician's Roundtable on ReachMD XM 157, the channel for medical
professionals.
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Thanks for listening. Until next time, I wish you good day
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